Singular Spectrum Analysis: Methodology and Comparison

نویسنده

  • Hossein Hassani
چکیده

In recent years Singular Spectrum Analysis (SSA), used as a powerful technique in time series analysis, has been developed and applied to many practical problems. In this paper, the performance of the SSA technique has been considered by applying it to a well-known time series data set, namely, monthly accidental deaths in the USA. The results are compared with those obtained using Box-Jenkins SARIMA models, the ARAR algorithm and the Holt-Winter algorithm (as described in Brockwell and Davis (2002)). The results show that the SSA technique gives a much more accurate forecast than the other methods indicated above.

برای دانلود متن کامل این مقاله و بیش از 32 میلیون مقاله دیگر ابتدا ثبت نام کنید

ثبت نام

اگر عضو سایت هستید لطفا وارد حساب کاربری خود شوید

منابع مشابه

Predicting the Brexit outcome using singular spectrum analysis

In a referendum conducted in the United Kingdom (UK) on June 23, 2016, $51.6\%$ of the participants voted to leave the European Union (EU). The outcome of this referendum had major policy and financial impact for both UK and EU, and was seen as a surprise because the predictions consistently indicate that the ``Remain'''' would get a majority. In this paper, we investigate whether the outcome o...

متن کامل

A Unique Approach of Noise Elimination from Electroencephalography Signals between Normal and Meditation State

In this paper, unique approach is presented for the electroencephalography (EEG) signals analysis. This is based on Eigen values distribution of a matrix which is called as scaled Hankel matrix. This gives us a way to find out the number of Eigen values essential for noise reduction and extraction of signal in singular spectrum analysis. This paper gives us an approach to classify the EEG signa...

متن کامل

Analysis of Process Dynamics with Monte Carlo Singular Spectrum Analysis

Singular spectrum analysis of time series observations can be visualized as a sliding window of width m moving down the time series x of length n, to determine the orthogonal patterns that best capture the variance presented by the window. It is designed to extract information from short and noisy time series. This allows the time series to be decomposed into various components, ideally separat...

متن کامل

Daily Rainfall Forecasting using an Ensemble Technique based on Singular Spectrum Analysis

In previous work, we have proposed a constructive methodology for temporal data learning supported by results and prescriptions related to the Takens-Mañé theorem and using the Singular Spectrum Analysis in order to reduce the effects of the possible discontinuity of the signal. In this paper we present some new results concerning the application of this approach to the forecasting of the indiv...

متن کامل

Automatic Singular Spectrum Analysis for Time-Series Decomposition

An automatic Singular Spectrum Analysis based methodology is proposed to decompose and reconstruct time-series. We suggest a clustering based procedure to identify the main dynamics of the input signal, by computing a subset of orthogonal basis using a power spectrum criterion. The subset of basis are represented by the Discrete Fourier Transform to infer basis vectors encoding similar data str...

متن کامل

ذخیره در منابع من


  با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید

برای دانلود متن کامل این مقاله و بیش از 32 میلیون مقاله دیگر ابتدا ثبت نام کنید

ثبت نام

اگر عضو سایت هستید لطفا وارد حساب کاربری خود شوید

عنوان ژورنال:

دوره   شماره 

صفحات  -

تاریخ انتشار 2007